Research Co. pollster Mario Canseco (Mackin)[/caption]
"It's definitely going to be difficult for the Liberals to take a seat in Nanaimo," said Research Co. pollster Mario Canseco in an interview with theBreaker.news Podcast host Bob Mackin. "They might be feeling a little more confident because of the defeat of the proportional representation referendum, but I wouldn't read too much into that."
Even if the BC Liberals score an upset in the "Hub City," Canseco said, it is more likely that Horgan and the NDP would seek a majority rather than give the BC Liberals the satisfaction of sparking an early provincial election. Opposition leader Andrew Wilkinson has not connected with voters, fears of the NDP ruining the economy have not come to fruition and voters may be fatigued after the fall's municipal election and electoral reform referendum.
"I just don't think it's going to happen unless something really drastic takes place," Canseco said. "Let's say, something related to the investigation into the Legislature or something related to money laundering. Something that helps the NDP say 'give us a majority mandate and nothing like this is going to happen again'."
The wildcard truly is the investigation into alleged corruption at the Legislature, after clerk Craig James and sergeant-at-arms Gary Lenz were suspended in late November. Speaker Darryl Plecas promises to deliver details on Jan. 21 that won't compromise the criminal investigation by the RCMP and two special prosecutors.
Listen to the full interview, as Canseco looks at the 12 months to come in politics. Plus Pacific Northwest and Pacific Rim headlines and commentaries.
Click below to listen or go to iTunes (aka Apple Podcasts) and subscribe.
Have you missed an edition of theBreaker.news Podcast? Go to the archive.
Support theBreaker.news for as low as $2 a month on Patreon. Find out how. Click here.
For the week of Aug. 6, 2023: […]
For the week of Feb. 28, 2021: Almost a year since the pandemic was officially declared by the World Health Organization, two-thirds of British...
For the week of April 14, 2024: The spring phase of public hearings in the Foreign Interference Inquiry is over. The climax came April...